Prediction

A fascinating new book – Daniel Finkelstein * The Times *
Mesquita offers zingily provocative contemporary policy ideas * Guardian *
A very interesting and entertaining read * *
Impressive * Economist *
Fruitful reading that will make it difficult to look at the world through quite the same eyes as in one’s virginal, pre-game theory days * Kirkus Reviews *
Organized thought applied to problems can illuminate and help solve them. This easy and enjoyable read is, in many ways, a how-to book for that very purpose – George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has demonstrated the power of using game theory and related assumptions of rational and self-seeking behavior in predicting the outcome of important political and legal processes. No one will fail to appreciate and learn from this well-written and always interesting account of his procedures – Kenneth Arrow, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor Emeritus, Stanford University
Predictioneer teaches us that we can predict how a conflict may be resolved if we carefully consider the incentives for all parties in the conflict. In an extraordinary range of applications, from ancient history to tomorrow’s headlines, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates the power of the game-theoretic approach – Roger B. Myerson, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor, University of Chicago
An interesting account of how one can approach apparently diverse situations * BBC Focus Magazine *
Interesting * Sunday Herald *

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan. Bueno de Mesquita is the author of fourteen books and numerous articles for journals, newspapers and magazines. He is a partner in a consulting firm focused on government and business applications of his game theory models. He lives in San Francisco and New York City.

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